← All regions

Northern contiguous U.S. / western Canada (milder winters)

Regional historical composite · not a forecast

Historical pattern

Nawinter: milder than normal across northern states and western Canada; enhanced marine air; reduced northerly cold flow. Warm_impacts: warm air into western Canada, Alaska, and extreme northern contiguous U.S.

Season context: Winter

What El Niño seasons often mean in this region

Atlas composites for this region: not a city forecast.

Winter temperature High confidence

Often milder

Winter

El Niño winters more often bring milder-than-average conditions across the northern U.S. and western Canada.

Winter storminess (north) High confidence

Often less stormy

Winter

Less stormy conditions across the northern part of the country as the storm track shifts south.

Sources

How we get the number