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Southern California

Regional historical composite · not a forecast

Historical pattern

CA/Southwest precip-El Niño link weaker than Gulf and depends on strength; strong events more often wet; weak/moderate approx mixed thirds. South-shifted storm track means stormier/wetter California (nawinter).

Season context: Cold-season / winter (DJF focus; cold half-year context)

What El Niño seasons often mean in this region

Atlas composites for this region: not a city forecast.

Cold-season precipitation Medium confidence

Often wetter in strong events

Cold-season / winter (DJF focus; cold half-year context)

Stronger El Niño winters have more often brought above-average rain to Southern California; weaker events are mixed.

Winter storminess / storm track Medium confidence

Often stormier

Cold-season / winter (DJF focus; cold half-year context)

El Niño winters more often feature a south-shifted Pacific storm track and stormier conditions across California.

Sources

How we get the number