Is this the strongest El Niño ever?

Not a record yet

Each line is one El Niño, from May through the next April. The thick line is this year.

This year compared with 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16, month by month from May to Aprilaveragerecord peak +2.400+1+2MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarApr1982–831997–982015–1620262026 +1.361982–831997–982015–162026

The latest reading is +1.36. The highest peak on record is +2.40 (1982–83).

Three-month official Pacific warmth index (NOAA CPC RONI), the same series as the homepage chart. · NOAA CPC data file

The homepage strength chart uses the stored NOAA CPC probability table. This page does not restate a separate percent or a date from the advisory. NOAA CPC advisory

The World Meteorological Organization publishes its own El Niño statement. This page links that note and does not copy a date or a statistic from it. WMO statement

A strong El Niño does not automatically mean strong local impacts.

How to get ready